Visiting Professor, School of International and Public Affairs, Columbia University (2023)
C. Bryan Cameron Chair in International EconomicsDistinguished Professor of Economics and FinanceDepartment of EconomicsGraduate School of ManagementUniversity of California, Davis
Research AssociateNational Bureau of Economic Research
Research FellowCentre for Economic Policy Research
AddressDepartment of EconomicsUniversity of CaliforniaDavis CA 95616amtaylor@ucdavis.edu
More@GoogleScholar @Wikipedia@NBER @CEPR @IDEAS @SSRN
RECENT
Jordà, Singh & Taylor “Longer-run Economic Consequences of Pandemics” w26934.pdf
Review of Economics & Statistics Forthcoming
Covered by Financial Times, Barron's, Sydney Morning Herald, SeekingAlpha, and Bloomberg
Summary at VoxEU
Kopecky & Taylor “The Murder-Suicide of the Rentier: Population Aging and the Risk Premium” w26943.pdf
Covered by Financial Times
Jordà, Singh & Taylor “The Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy” w26666.pdf
Covered by Financial Times
FEDERAL RESERVE BANK OF KANSAS CITY ECONOMIC SYMPOSIUM, JACKSON HOLE 2019
Jordà & Taylor “Riders on the Storm" Paper
NOBEL SYMPOSIUM ON MONEY AND BANKING, STOCKHOLM 2018
Alan Taylor “Indebtedness of governments, firms, and households”
JORDÀ-SCHULARICK-TAYLOR MACROHISTORY DATABASE
DATA Release 4, May 2019: http://www.macrohistory.net/data/
• See: Jordà, Schularick & Taylor “Macrofinancial History and the New Business Cycle Facts” NBER Macroeconomics Annual w22743.pdf
• See: Jordà, Knoll, Kuvshinov, Schularick & Taylor “The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015" Quarterly Journal of Economics w24112.pdf
SELECTED RECENT PUBLICATIONS
NEW Journal of International Economics Forthcoming
Choi & Taylor “Precaution Versus Mercantilism: Reserve Accumulation, Capital Controls, and the Real Exchange Rate” w23341.pdf
NEW Management Science Forthcoming
Davis & Taylor “The Leverage Factor: Credit Cycles and Asset Returns” w26435.pdf
NEW Review of Financial Studies 2022
Jordà, Kornejew, Schularick, and Taylor “Zombies at Large? Corporate Debt Overhang and the Macroeconomy” w28197.pdf
NEW Handbook of International Economics vol. 6 2022
Sufi, Taylor “Financial Crises: A Survey” w29155.pdf
NEW Review of Economic Studies 2021
Jordà, Richter, Schularick & Taylor “Bank Capital Redux: Solvency, Liquidity, and Crisis” w23287.pdf
American Economic Review: Insights 2020
Benguria & Taylor “After the Panic: Are Financial Crises Demand or Supply Shocks? Evidence from International Trade” w25790.pdf
Quarterly Journal of Economics 2019
Jordà, Knoll, Kuvshinov, Schularick & Taylor “The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015" w24112.pdf
• Link to the complete merged online dataset: http://www.macrohistory.net/data/
• Link to the QJE-only replication files: https://dataverse.harvard.edu/
Journal of Monetary Economics 2020
Jordà, Schularick & Taylor “The Effects of Quasi-Random Monetary Experiments” w23074.pdf
• Link to the Trilemma IV data: JSTtrilemmaIV.csv
Economic Journal 2016
Jordà & Taylor “The Time for Austerity: Estimating the Average Treatment Effect of Fiscal Policy” w19414.pdf
Journal of Economic Perspectives 2013
O’Rourke & Taylor “Cross of Euros” jep.27.3.167
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking 2013
Jordà, Schularick & Taylor “When Credit Bites Back” w17621.pdf
American Economic Review 2012
Schularick & Taylor “Credit Booms Gone Bust: Monetary Policy, Leverage Cycles and Financial Crises, 1870–2008” w15512.pdf
• Online dataset: CreditBoomsAER_data_replication
RECENT WORKING PAPERS
NEW Caliendo, Feenstra, Romalis, Taylor “A Second-best Argument for Low Optimal Tariffs” w28380.pdf
NEW Jacks, O’Rourke, and Taylor “The Gravitational Constant?” w27904.pdf
NEW Jordà, Schularick & Taylor “Disasters Everywhere: The Costs of Business Cycles Reconsidered” w26962.pdf
NEW Cloyne, Jordà & Taylor “Decomposing the Fiscal Multiplier” w26939.pdf
NEW Kopecky & Taylor “ The Murder-Suicide of the Rentier: Population Aging and the Risk Premium” w26943.pdf
NEW Jordà, Singh & Taylor “The Long-Run Effects of Monetary Policy” w26666.pdf
NEW Davis, Fuenzalida & Taylor “The Natural Rate Puzzle: Global Macro Trends and the Market-Implied r*” w26560.pdf
O'Rourke, Rahman & Taylor “Trade, Technology, and the Great Divergence” w25741.pdf
Jordà, Schularick & Taylor, “The Total Risk Premium Puzzle,” w25653.pdf
Aikman, Bush & Taylor “Monetary Versus Macroprudential Policies: Causal Impacts of Interest Rates and Credit Controls in the Era of the UK Radcliffe Report” w22380.pdf
Caliendo, Feenstra, Romalis & Taylor “Tariff Reductions, Entry, and Welfare: Theory and Evidence for the Last Two Decades” w21768.pdf